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Interpreting time-related trends in effect estimates

✍ Scribed by Sander Greenland

Book ID: 117136036
Publisher: Elsevier Science
Year: 1987
Weight: 724 KB
Volume: 40
Category: Article
ISSN: 0021-9681
DOI: 10.1016/s0021-9681(87)80005-x

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## Abstract We consider the use of generalized additive models with correlated errors for analysing trends in time series. The trend is represented as a smoothing spline so that it can be extrapolated. A method is proposed for choosing the smoothing parameter. It is based on the ability to predict