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Interactions of real GNP business cycles in a three-country time-series model

✍ Scribed by Masanao Aoki


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1993
Tongue
English
Weight
684 KB
Volume
12
Category
Article
ISSN
0277-6693

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✦ Synopsis


Abstract

The paper describes a procedure for examining short‐run dynamic interactions among macroeconomic models by constructing aggregate state‐space submodels for dynamic modes corresponding with short‐run response patterns. Using the quarterly real GNP from the US, Germany, and Japan for 1974. III to 1991. I we examine dynamic interactions in the frequency ranges roughly comparable with a range of business cycle frequencies. We find that there is no (worldwide) shock common to the three countries even though the German and Japanese real GNP are affected by a common shock.


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