## Abstract In this article we compare the incremental information content of lagged implied volatility to GARCH models of conditional volatility for a collection of agricultural commodities traded on the New York Board of Trade. We also assess the relevance of the additional information provided b
Information content of volatilities implied by option premiums in grain futures markets
โ Scribed by William W. Wilson; Hung-Gay Fung
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1990
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 907 KB
- Volume
- 10
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Although the interest rate needs to be forecast, the study by Plato (1985) and others have shown that the interest rate forecast has little impact on the option premium. Therefore, the observed Treasury Bill interest rate is used as the parameter in this study.
๐ SIMILAR VOLUMES
## Abstract This study examines the information conveyed by options and examines their implied volatility at the time of the 1997 Hong Kong stock market crash. The author determines the efficiency of implied volatility as a predictor of future volatility by comparing it to other leading indicator c
## Abstract Current literature is inconclusive as to whether idiosyncratic risk influences future stock returns and the direction of the impact. Earlier studies are based on historical realized volatility. Implied volatilities from option prices represent the market's assessment of future risk and
The current price of a futures contract conveys the expected price, as determined by the market, at the contract expiration date. However, futures prices do not indicate the degree of certainty that the market places on this price forecast. To obtain the market's certainty level about the price expe