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Information content of forecast errors

✍ Scribed by Sherrill Shaffer

Book ID: 117333200
Publisher: Elsevier Science
Year: 1998
Tongue: English
Weight: 30 KB
Volume: 59
Category: Article
ISSN: 0165-1765
DOI: 10.1016/s0165-1765(98)00025-1

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## Abstract The signs of forecast errors can be predicted using the difference between individuals' forecasts and the average of earlier forecasts of the same variable. It is possible to improve forecasts without worsening any. It is difficult to reconcile this result with the rational expectations