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Improving extreme hydrologic events forecasting using a new criterion for artificial neural network selection

✍ Scribed by Paulin Coulibaly; Bernard Bobée; François Anctil


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2001
Tongue
English
Weight
89 KB
Volume
15
Category
Article
ISSN
0885-6087

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✦ Synopsis


Abstract

The issue of selecting appropriate model input parameters is addressed using a peak and low flow criterion (PLC). The optimal artificial neural network (ANN) models selected using the PLC significantly outperform those identified with the classical root‐mean‐square error (RMSE) or the conventional Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (NSC) statistics. The comparative forecast results indicate that the PLC can help to design an appropriate ANN model to improve extreme hydrologic events (peak and low flow) forecast accuracy. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.