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How to predict the unpredictable : the a
โœ Poundstone, William ๐Ÿ“‚ Library ๐Ÿ“… 2014 ๐Ÿ› Oneworld Publications ๐ŸŒ English

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streaks' that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be. In the 1970s, daniel kahneman and amos tversky coined the phrase 'representativeness' to describ

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An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite

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<p>An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the cataclysmic 2008 Sichuan quake in China that killed tens of thousands or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid adv