Findings in recent research on the `conjunction fallacy' have been taken as evidence that our minds are not designed to work by the rules of probability. This conclusion springs from the idea that norms should be content-blind Γ in the present case, the assumption that sound reasoning requires follo
How probability theory explains the conjunction fallacy
β Scribed by Fintan J. Costello
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2009
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 185 KB
- Volume
- 22
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0894-3257
- DOI
- 10.1002/bdm.618
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
Empirical research has shown that in some situations, subjects tend to assign a probability to a conjunction of two events that is larger than the probability they assign to each of these two events. This empirical phenomenon is traditionally called the conjunction fallacy. One of the best-known exp
Soccer is much more than a game, or even a way of life. It is a perfect window into the cross-currents of today's world, with all its joys and its sorrows. In this remarkably insightful, wide-ranging work of reportage, Franklin Foer takes us on a surprising tour through the world of soccer, shining
## Abstract Here I present and discuss a model that, among other things, appears able to describe the dynamics of cancer cell origin from the perspective of stable and unstable gene expression profiles. In identifying such __aberrant__ gene expression profiles as lying outside the normal stable sta