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How good is good enough? Metrics for worm/anti-worm evaluation

✍ Scribed by Ondi, Attila ;Ford, Richard


Publisher
Springer
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
297 KB
Volume
3
Category
Article
ISSN
1772-9890

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## Abstract Ensemble prediction systems aim to account for uncertainties of initial conditions and model error. Ensemble forecasting is sometimes viewed as a method of obtaining (objective) probabilistic forecasts. How is one to judge the quality of an ensemble at forecasting a system? The probabil