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Good Forecast, But Missed Prediction

✍ Scribed by Kerr, R. A.

Book ID
121152279
Publisher
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Year
1992
Tongue
English
Weight
293 KB
Volume
258
Category
Article
ISSN
0036-8075

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## Abstract Because of their natural adherence to the climate and pronounced seasonal cycles, prices of field crops constitute an interesting field for exploring seasonal time series models. We consider quarterly prices of two major cereals: barley and wheat. Using traditional in‐sample fit and mov