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Fuzzy seasonality forecasting

โœ Scribed by Ping-Teng Chang


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1997
Tongue
English
Weight
716 KB
Volume
90
Category
Article
ISSN
0165-0114

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โœฆ Synopsis


In this paper, a fuzzy forecasting technique for seasonality in the time-series data is presented using the following procedure. First, with the fuzzy regression analysis the fuzzy trend of a time-series is analyzed. Then thefizzy season&y is defined by realizing the membership grades of the seasons to the fuzzy regression model. Both making fuzzy forecast and crisp forecast are investigated. Seasonal fuzziness and trends are analyzed. The method is applied to the sales forecasting problem of a food distribution company. 0 1997 Elsevier Science B.V.


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