Nikolaos T. Milonas\* he hypothesis that price variability increases as time to maturity nears-the T so-called "maturity effect"-has important implications on the behavior of futures prices. This article derives the theoretical basis for this effect in line with Samuelson's (1965) arguments, develop
Futures prices and the maturity effect
โ Scribed by Galloway, Tina M.; Kolb, Robert W.
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1996
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 976 KB
- Volume
- 16
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Barley, flaxseed, rapeseed, and rye arc Canadian (Winnipeg) commodities. Winnipeg conducts the only barley and rye futures markets in the world, and the only flaxseed futures market in North America. 'Whcn the overall volatility variable, 0: 6.monrh, is omitted from the regression equation, the adjusted R2 values deerease, and the remaining coefficient estimates increase in absolute value, but the signs and significance levels of the coefficient estimates are similar to those reported in Table IV. 51nterestingly, only twn nfthe four wheat futures (Chicago and Winnipeg) show a significant maturity effect. Also, of the metals, copper is the commodity whose prices behave the least like a precious metal.
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