## Abstract This article examines the effect of disappointment aversion on the equilibrium in a commodity futures market. Consider a commodity market with a producer and a speculator. We show that the equilibrium price is positively related to either agent's risk or disappointment aversion, and to
Futures market equilibrium with heterogeneity and a spot market at harvest
โ Scribed by Henri Fouda; Lawrence Kryzanowski; Minh Chau To
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 2001
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 169 KB
- Volume
- 25
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0165-1889
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
This paper studies equilibrium in the futures market for a commodity in a single good economy, which is populated by heterogeneous producers and speculators. The commodity is traded only in the spot market at harvest whereas futures contracts written on the commodity are traded continuously. The model illustrates the role of heterogeneity and non-tradeness in a futures market equilibrium. The results show that the futures price is driven by aggregate wealth, rather than the spot price as in other models and that the futures price process is a simple one which depends on the relative risk process.
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