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Future pricing through homogeneous semi-Markov processes

✍ Scribed by Giuseppe Di Biase; Jacques Janssen; Raimondo Manca


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2005
Tongue
English
Weight
109 KB
Volume
21
Category
Article
ISSN
1524-1904

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✦ Synopsis


This paper presents a future pricing model based on the discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process (DTHSMP). The model is adapted to the real data of the Italian primary future stock index.

After showing the pricing model, the DTHSMP solution is given. The solution of the semi-Markov process gives, for each period of the considered horizon time, and for each starting state, the probability distribution of the future price.


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