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Fundamentals, forecast combinations and nominal exchange-rate predictability

✍ Scribed by Jyh-Lin Wu; Yi-Chiuan Wang


Book ID
119263013
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2013
Tongue
English
Weight
505 KB
Volume
25
Category
Article
ISSN
1059-0560

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## Abstract This paper employs a non‐parametric method to forecast high‐frequency Canadian/US dollar exchange rate. The introduction of a microstructure variable, order flow, substantially improves the predictive power of both linear and non‐linear models. The non‐linear models outperform random wa