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Forest-fire as a model for the dynamics of disease epidemics

✍ Scribed by C.J. Rhodes; R.M. Anderson

Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1998
Tongue
English
Weight
832 KB
Volume
335
Category
Article
ISSN
0016-0032

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✦ Synopsis

We review recent studies on the modelling of epidemic processes using individuul-based lattice epidemic models. Originally introduced to investigate the emergence of spatio-temporal organisation in non-linear dynamicalsystems they ure usually termed '@est$re"models.

However, their interpretation as a representation of communicable diseuse spread is readily apparent and we show how, by analysing individual epidemic outbreaks, it is possible to gain insight into the spread of measles in certain small, largely susceptible, islandpopulations bqfore the era of mass-vaccination.

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