Could the terrorist attacks on the Twin Towers have been avoided? What about the recent global financial crisis? Behind these apparently very different events it is possible to identify a common element of organizational myopia - a syndrome that severely limits the capacity of organizations to fores
Foresight in Organizations: Methods and Tools
β Scribed by Patrick van der Duin
- Publisher
- Routledge
- Year
- 2016
- Tongue
- English
- Leaves
- 269
- Series
- Routledge Advances in Management and Business Studies
- Edition
- 1
- Category
- Library
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
Foresight for Organizations will acquaint the reader with various foresight methods and tools, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each other. This innovative volume offers the reader the ability to carry out a study of the future by him- or herself and apply the results in a decision-making strategy process.
The author addresses the following methods: scenarios, trend analysis, the Delphi method, quantitative trend extrapolation, technology assessment, backcasting and roadmapping; the most relevant and popular methods that also cover the range of approaches from predictive, via normative to explorative. Every chapter also contains references to additional literature about the methods being discussed.
This book is essential reading for researchers, academics and students in the areas of Community Development, Sociology of organizations, Change management, Social entrepreneurship, Sustainable development and participative planning.
β¦ Table of Contents
Cover
Title
Copyright
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
Notes on Contributors
1 Introduction
2 Developing Scenarios
3 Trend Analysis
4 The Delphi Method
5 Technological Forecasting
6 Technology Assessment
7 Backcasting
8 Roadmapping
9 Interviews
10 Workshops
11 The Future Recycled: Meta-analysis for Foresight
12 The Acceleration Method
13 Creativity in Foresight: Seven Exercises
14 Foresight and Creativity
15 Stakeholder Analysis
16 Causal Loop Diagramming
17 Beyond Visualization: Experiencing the Future
Index
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