Foresight in a research institution: a critical review of two exercises
✍ Scribed by Marie de Lattre-Gasquet; Philippe Petithuguenin; Jérôme Sainte-Beuve
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2003
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 121 KB
- Volume
- 22
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
- DOI
- 10.1002/for.852
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✦ Synopsis
Abstract
Foresight is a powerful tool for imagining possible futures, for raising public awareness, for helping decision‐making and addressing questions related to the relationship between science and society. In this article we make a critical analysis of two foresight exercises organized by a research institution. A precise description of the exercises conducted on the futures of the cocoa commodity chain and the hevea commodity chain helps to understand the possible processes of a foresight exercise, what foresight can achieve and what kinds of difficulties can occur. From these experiences, proposals are made to facilitate the development of strategic intelligence in a research institution and improve the linkages between foresight, evaluation and programme formulation. The role of foresight in transforming knowledge and in pushing a closed system into a political arena is also shown. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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