Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation

✍ Scribed by Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov (auth.)

Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Year: 2016
Tongue: English
Leaves: 279
Series: Science, Technology and Innovation Studies
Edition: 1
Category: Library

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.

✦ Table of Contents

Front Matter....Pages i-xiii
Introduction....Pages 1-7
Foresight for STI: What and Why....Pages 9-20
Initiation: Scoping and Managing ForSTI....Pages 21-42
Interaction: Participation and Recruitment....Pages 43-62
Intelligence: Environmental and Horizon Scanning....Pages 63-93
Intelligence: Delphi....Pages 95-124
Imagination: Scenarios and Alternative Futures....Pages 125-167
Integration: Modelling....Pages 169-204
From Integration to Interpretation: Translating ForSTI into Strategies....Pages 205-235
Intervention and Impact: Outcomes, Action and Evaluation....Pages 237-254
Conclusions....Pages 255-259
Back Matter....Pages 261-270

✦ Subjects

R & D/Technology Policy;Innovation/Technology Management;Public Administration;Operation Research/Decision Theory

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