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Forecasting the movement of tropical cyclones at the Met. Office

✍ Scribed by A M Radford

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 2007
Tongue: English
Weight: 929 KB
Volume: 1
Category: Article
ISSN: 1350-4827
DOI: 10.1002/met.5060010406

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✦ Synopsis

Over the last decade global numerical weather prediction models have become sufficiently sophisticated to forecast the movement of tropical cyclones with a reasonable degree of accuracy. This paper describes the work being done at the Met. Office in Bracknell, UK, to improve and verify track forecasts, looking particularly at methods of 'bogussing' the initial conditions and of verifying the forecasts.

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