Forecasting Profit

✍ Scribed by Mike Metcalfe (auth.)

Publisher: Springer US
Year: 1995
Tongue: English
Leaves: 353
Edition: 1
Category: Library

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

This book is about managing the task of forecasting profit. It builds a case for using multiple methods, providing examples of each method, and suggesting practical techniques to use in dealing with the issues and problems of accuracy in profit forecasts. All the elements that infringe on profits (costs, sales, budgeting, investment, and loan default) are examined within this framework. In addition to synthesizing the research, Professor Metcalfe has applied his own research work on forecast modeling and judgmental methods. The final result is a practical reference book for making more accurate profit forecasts.

✦ Table of Contents

Front Matter....Pages i-xxiii
Reporting a Forecast....Pages 1-27
Types of Evidence....Pages 29-49
An Historical Classification....Pages 51-62
Group Forecasts....Pages 63-87
Question Instruments....Pages 89-103
Interviews....Pages 105-138
Extrapolation....Pages 139-178
Causal Models....Pages 179-203
Bootstrapping and Expert Systems....Pages 205-210
Deterministic Models....Pages 211-218
Eclectic Methods....Pages 219-236
Bankruptcy Forecasts....Pages 237-258
Profit Forecasts....Pages 259-281
Disclosure....Pages 283-296
Evaluating a Forecast....Pages 297-310
Back Matter....Pages 311-339

✦ Subjects

Business/Management Science, general; Marketing; Accounting/Auditing; Operation Research/Decision Theory

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