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Forecasting Markov-switching dynamic, conditionally heteroscedastic processes

✍ Scribed by James Davidson


Book ID
108267179
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2004
Tongue
English
Weight
239 KB
Volume
68
Category
Article
ISSN
0167-7152

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## Abstract This paper uses Markov switching models to capture volatility dynamics in exchange rates and to evaluate their forecasting ability. We identify that increased volatilities in four euro‐based exchange rates are due to underlying structural changes. Also, we find that currencies are close