Forecasting accounting data: A multiple time-series analysis
✍ Scribed by S. C. Hillmer; D. F. Larcker; D. A. Schroeder
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1983
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 938 KB
- Volume
- 2
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
This paper examines the relative forecasting performance of multivariate time‐series analysis. One hundred consecutive monthly observations for three accounting series were obtained from a manufacturing division of a large corporation. Regression, univariate time‐series, transfer‐function, and multiple time‐series models were identified, estimated, and used to forecast each accounting series. The multiple time‐series model yielded the smallest forecast variances.
📜 SIMILAR VOLUMES
## Abstract Methods of time series forecasting are proposed which can be applied automatically. However, they are not rote formulae, since they are based on a flexible philosophy which can provide several models for consideration. In addition it provides diverse diagnostics for qualitatively and qu
We look at the problem of forecasting time series which are not normally distributed. An overall approach is suggested which works both on simulated data and on real data sets. The idea is intuitively attractive and has the considerable advantage that it can readily be understood by nonspecialists.
An important tool in time series analysis is that of combining information in an optimal way. Here we establish a basic combining rule of linear predictors and show that such problems as forecast updating, missing value estimation, restricted forecasting with binding constraints, analysis of outlier
This research investigates whether prior statistical deseasonalization of data is necessary to produce more accurate neural network forecasts. Neural networks trained with deseasonalized data from Hill et al. (1996) were compared with neural networks estimated without prior deseasonalization. Both s
## Abstract Financial market time series exhibit high degrees of non‐linear variability, and frequently have fractal properties. When the fractal dimension of a time series is non‐integer, this is associated with two features: (1) inhomogeneity—extreme fluctuations at irregular intervals, and (2) s