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Fog forecasting in Cuba. Neural networks versus discriminant analysis

✍ Scribed by Lino R Naranjo-Diaz; Arnaldo P Alfonso


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
330 KB
Volume
2
Category
Article
ISSN
1350-4827

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✦ Synopsis


The relative number of correct forecasts is over 70% for both, which can be considered a good performance. When the learning sample is large enough and nearly equi-probabalistic, the L V Q algorithm provides a greater number of correct forecasts than those obtained via the Fisher discriminant function. However, the results attained via the L V Q algorithm are not steady when the learning sample is far from being equi-probabalistic, because the number of fog cases is much reduced. Until larger samples are available for some regions, it will be necessary to use both methods f o r fog forecasting in Cuba.


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