Preliminary data and econometric forecas
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Fabio Busetti
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Article
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2005
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John Wiley and Sons
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English
β 240 KB
π 1 views
This paper discusses the use of preliminary data in econometric forecasting. The standard practice is to ignore the distinction between preliminary and final data, the forecasts that do so here being termed naΓ―ve forecasts. It is shown that in dynamic models a multistep-ahead naΓ―ve forecast can achi