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Exploring the possibility of forecasting monthly - 700 hPa geopotential fields over india

✍ Scribed by K. D. Prasad; S. V. Singh


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1994
Tongue
English
Weight
487 KB
Volume
14
Category
Article
ISSN
0899-8418

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✦ Synopsis


Abstract

The principal component regression approach is used for forecasting the monthly 700 hPa geopotential fields over India, for July, from the geopotential fields observed during June. The data used are for the 23‐year period from 1958 to 1980. The multiple linear regression equations are developed on 22 years of data using the principal components as predictors and keeping one randomly selected year for independent testing. The forecasts and validation experiments are carried out for seven representative years. The results show some skill in forecasting the monthly height fields over India.