## Abstract The purpose of this paper is to implement theoretically, the observation that the relative importance of fundamental versus technical analysis in the foreign exchange market depends on the time horizon in currency trade. For shorter time horizons, more weight is placed on technical anal
Exchange rate target zones and stock price volatility
โ Scribed by Bernd Kempa; Michael Nelles; Christian Pierdzioch
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1999
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 211 KB
- Volume
- 4
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
We show how agents' rational expectations regarding the state-contingent activation of policy instruments do not only impact the asset price it is designed to affect but spill over onto the entire range of asset prices in an economy. We present an application to exchange rate target zones as a state-contingent instrument for monetary policy. In particular we find that any explicit credible target zone for the exchange rate is associated with an implicit target zone for the stock price where the non-linearity of the exchange rate function translates into a corresponding stabilizing non-linearity of the stock price path.
๐ SIMILAR VOLUMES
This paper develops a Bayesian approach to estimating exchange rate target zone models and rational expectations models in general. It also introduces a simultaneous-equation target zone model that incorporates stochastic realignment risk. Using FF/DM and IL/DM exchange rate data, we ยฎnd that the si