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Evidence-based medicine as Bayesian decision-making

โœ Scribed by Deborah Ashby; Adrian F. M. Smith


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2000
Tongue
English
Weight
94 KB
Volume
19
Category
Article
ISSN
0277-6715

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โœฆ Synopsis


We review two recent trends: the emergence of evidence-based medicine and the growing use of Bayesian statistics in medical applications. Evidence-based medicine requires an integrated assessment of the available evidence, and associated uncertainty, but there is also an emphasis on decision-making, for individual patients, or at other points in the health-care system. This demands consideration of the values and costs associated with potential outcomes. We argue that the natural statistical framework for evidence-based medicine is a Bayesian approach to decision-making that incorporates an integrated summary of the available evidence and associated uncertainty with assessment of utilities. We outline a practical agenda for further development.


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The rationale of evidence-based decision-making is to inform the decision-making process with information relevant to the decisions being taken. In this paper the models of research and analytical approaches used to generate the evidence are shown to be generally not 'decision-informing'. The resear