Evaluating second-order probability judgments with strictly proper scoring rules

✍ Scribed by Kathleen M. Whitcomb; P. George Benson

Publisher: Springer US
Year: 1996
Tongue: English
Weight: 650 KB
Volume: 41
Category: Article
ISSN: 0040-5833
DOI: 10.1007/bf00134642

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## Abstract This note gives an easily verified necessary and sufficient condition for one probability forecaster to empirically outperform another one in terms of all strictly proper scoring rules. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.