Finite mixtures of Markov processes with densities belonging to exponential families are introduced. Quasilikelihood and maximum likelihood methods are used to estimate the parameters of the mixing distributions and of the component distributions. The E-M algorithm is used to compute the ML estimate
Estimation of Markov processes
β Scribed by Omar Hijab
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 1981
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 386 KB
- Volume
- 1
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0167-6911
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β¦ Synopsis
Let I + x(r) denote a Mark& process evolving on some state-space X and consider observations given by .Y( r) = h( x( I)), where h is a real-valued function on X. If $I is another real-valued function on X, the best estimate (in the mean square sense) of $(x( 1)) given y(r), OGTC t, is the conditional expectation E($~(.x(t))ly(r), O< 7~ 1). In this paper we derive the equation governing the time evolution of the 'unnormahzed' form of the conditional expectation, and express its solution as a multiple integral expansion whose existence is guaranteed by Wiener's theorem. The usual 'signal plus noise' model is a special case of the situation studied here.
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