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Empirical Likelihood and Quantile Methods for Time Series: Efficiency, Robustness, Optimality, and Prediction

✍ Scribed by Yan Liu, Fumiya Akashi, Masanobu Taniguchi


Publisher
Springer Singapore
Year
2018
Tongue
English
Leaves
144
Series
SpringerBriefs in Statistics
Edition
1st ed.
Category
Library

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✦ Synopsis


This book integrates the fundamentals of asymptotic theory of statistical inference for time series under nonstandard settings, e.g., infinite variance processes, not only from the point of view of efficiency but also from that of robustness and optimality by minimizing prediction error. This is the first book to consider the generalized empirical likelihood applied to time series models in frequency domain and also the estimation motivated by minimizing quantile prediction error without assumption of true model. It provides the reader with a new horizon for understanding the prediction problem that occurs in time series modeling and a contemporary approach of hypothesis testing by the generalized empirical likelihood method. Nonparametric aspects of the methods proposed in this book also satisfactorily address economic and financial problems without imposing redundantly strong restrictions on the model, which has been true until now. Dealing with infinite variance processes makes analysis of economic and financial data more accurate under the existing results from the demonstrative research. The scope of applications, however, is expected to apply to much broader academic fields. The methods are also sufficiently flexible in that they represent an advanced and unified development of prediction form including multiple-point extrapolation, interpolation, and other incomplete past forecastings. Consequently, they lead readers to a good combination of efficient and robust estimate and test, and discriminate pivotal quantities contained in realistic time series models.

✦ Table of Contents


Front Matter ....Pages i-x
Introduction (Yan Liu, Fumiya Akashi, Masanobu Taniguchi)....Pages 1-27
Parameter Estimation Based on Prediction (Yan Liu, Fumiya Akashi, Masanobu Taniguchi)....Pages 29-57
Quantile Method for Time Series (Yan Liu, Fumiya Akashi, Masanobu Taniguchi)....Pages 59-86
Empirical Likelihood Method for Time Series (Yan Liu, Fumiya Akashi, Masanobu Taniguchi)....Pages 87-108
Self-weighted GEL Methods for Infinite Variance Processes (Yan Liu, Fumiya Akashi, Masanobu Taniguchi)....Pages 109-130
Back Matter ....Pages 131-136

✦ Subjects


Statistics; Statistical Theory and Methods; Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance; Statistics for Social Science, Behavorial Science, Education, Public Policy, and Law


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