Eliciting probabilistic expectations wit
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Adeline Delavande; Xavier GinΓ©; David McKenzie
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Article
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2011
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John Wiley and Sons
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English
β 214 KB
## Abstract Eliciting subjective probability distributions in developing countries is often based on visual aids such as beans to represent probabilities and intervals on a sheet of paper to represent the support. We conduct an experiment in India which tests the sensitivity of elicited expectation