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Effects of transient climate change on basin hydrology. 2. Impacts on runoff variability in the Arno River, central Italy

โœ Scribed by Paolo Burlando; Renzo Rosso

Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2002
Tongue
English
Weight
468 KB
Volume
16
Category
Article
ISSN
0885-6087

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โœฆ Synopsis

Abstract

Potential climate change is expected to produce substantial effects on the hydrological cycle. In a companion paper (Burlando P, Rosso R. Hydrological Processes this issue) the effects on precipitation have been discussed, with particular attention being given to significant changes in storm characteristics, distributional and extremal properties. As a consequence, major changes in runoff and rainfallโ€driven processes could occur. The analysis of such changes is discussed in this paper, focusing on the Arno River basin, central Italy, which can be representative of climatic environments of southern Europe. The effects of transient scenarios are simulated by a model that explicitly describes the processes involved in the rainfallโ€“runoff transformation. Changes in the most significant components of the water balance are discussed with respect to seasonality, distributional properties and extremes. Finally, mention is also given to some potential implications on water resources. Copyright ยฉ 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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