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Econometric Decision Models: New Methods of Modeling and Applications
β Scribed by Josef Gruber (auth.), Prof. Dr. Josef Gruber Ph.D. (eds.)
- Publisher
- Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
- Year
- 1991
- Tongue
- English
- Leaves
- 629
- Series
- Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 366
- Edition
- 1
- Category
- Library
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
This volume contains a refereed selection of revised papers which were originally presented at the Second International Conference on Econometric Decision Models, University of Hagen (FernUniΒ versitat). The conference was held in Haus Nordhelle, a meeting place in the mountainous area " Sauerland" , some 50 kilometers south of Hagen, on August 29 - September 1, 1989. Some details about this conference are given in the first paper, they need not be repeated here. The 40 papers included in this volume are organized in 10 "parts", shown in the table of contents. Included are such "fashionable" topics like "optimal control", "cointegration" and "rational expecΒ tations models". In each part, the papers have been arranged alphabetically by author, unless there were good reasons for a different arrangement. To facilitate the decision making of the readers, all papers (except a few short ones) contain an abstract, a list of keywords and a table of contents. At the end of the proceedings volume, there is a list of authors. More than ten years ago, I began to organize meetings of econometricians, mainly called "seminar" or " colloquium". One major purpose of these meetings has always been to improve international cooperation of econometric model builders (and model users) from "the East" and "the West". Unprecedented changes to the better have taken place recently ("perestroika"). For a large fraction of participants from the Soviet Union, the 1989 conference was the first conference in a Western country.
β¦ Table of Contents
Front Matter....Pages I-VIII
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Introduction to the conference on econometric decision models: for better balanced research and more interdisciplinary and international cooperation....Pages 3-14
Some Recent Developments in Policy Making with Macroeconometric Models....Pages 15-36
Front Matter....Pages 37-37
Optimal Stabilization with a Macroeconometric Model for Hungary: Investigating the Effects of Different Objective Functions and Time Horizons....Pages 39-50
On Causality and Control in Economic Systems....Pages 51-56
Optimal control of nonlinear stochastic macroeconometric models: An algorithm and an economic example....Pages 57-77
Game Theoretical Approach to Optimal Control of Economic Systems....Pages 79-93
Nonlinear Optimal Control Simulations of Development Strategies....Pages 94-118
On Some Properties of the Solution of the Optimal Control Problem for the Original Long β Term Macroeconomic Model....Pages 119-128
Front Matter....Pages 129-129
Implementing the reference-point approach to multi-criteria decision making in econometric models in the computerprogram LOS....Pages 131-148
Optimal Economic Policy Making With an Econometric Model Using Interactive Methods of Vector Optimization....Pages 149-163
Front Matter....Pages 165-165
Public Preferences and Their Role in the Design of Economic Policy....Pages 167-184
Least squares estimation of quadratic preference functions for econometric decision models based on survey data....Pages 185-204
Operationalizing a Macro-Economic Preference Function....Pages 205-221
On Constructing Objective Functions....Pages 222-247
Optimal dictatorial and multi-dictatorial choice in Arrowβs model with applications to multicriteria decision making....Pages 248-266
Front Matter....Pages 267-267
Rational Versus Adaptive Expectations in Present Value Models....Pages 269-284
The Finnish Rational Expectations Qmed Model: Estimation, Dynamic Properties and Policy Results....Pages 285-304
Qualms About the Linearized Expectations Hypothesis and Variance-Bounds Studies of the Interest Rate Term Structure....Pages 305-319
Front Matter....Pages 321-321
The Power Function of the Likelihood Ratio Test for Cointegration....Pages 323-335
Longβrun relations in a wellβdefined statistical model for the data generating process. Cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP relations for Denmark and Germany....Pages 336-357
Front Matter....Pages 321-321
Interest Rate Linkages Between EC Countries Participating in the European Monetary System: An Application of Cointegration....Pages 358-381
Front Matter....Pages 383-383
Estimating the Second Moments of Random Coefficients....Pages 385-403
Tighter Bounds for the Effects of Arma Disturbances on Tests for Regression Coefficients....Pages 404-418
True VS. Nominal Size of the F-Test in the Linear Regression Model with Autocorrelated Disturbances....Pages 419-428
Asymptotic and Small-Sample Properties of the Fixpoint-Estimator for Rational Expectations Models....Pages 429-458
The analysis of non-metric endogenous variables in latent variable models: The MECOSA approach....Pages 459-472
Econometric Modelling with Interval Coefficients β A Non-Stochastic Approach....Pages 473-484
Front Matter....Pages 485-485
Optimal triangulation of a matrix and a measure of interdependence for a linear econometric equation system....Pages 487-495
Evaluating the number of zero eigenvalues in a dynamic model....Pages 496-501
Forecast and multiplier sensitivity analysis with respect to changes of structural equations and submodels in dynamic systems....Pages 502-515
Structural Sensitivity Analysis in Econometric Models: An Application to the Model of the West German Textile and Apparel Industry....Pages 516-536
Front Matter....Pages 537-537
The Optimum Price of Energy: A Thermoeconomic Analysis....Pages 539-545
Energy Resources Depletion and Economic Growth....Pages 546-550
Econometric methods as an instrument for estimating external costs per unit of emission: the case of a groundwater model....Pages 551-555
Front Matter....Pages 557-557
Microeconometric research at the Sonderforschungsbereich 3....Pages 559-569
Income and Price Policy Making with an Econometric Model of Financial Incomes and Expenditures of Polandβs Population....Pages 570-587
Keynesian or Classical Unemployment in West Germany? β An Empirical Analysis with a Disequilibrium Model β....Pages 588-590
A Macroeconometric Disequilibrium Model for Poland....Pages 591-609
Evaluating econometric models: The 1988 forecast of the RWI-business cycle model in retrospect....Pages 610-625
The Macroeconometric Model of the Deutsche Bundesbank β A Brief Review....Pages 626-633
Back Matter....Pages 635-636
β¦ Subjects
Economic Theory; Operation Research/Decision Theory
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