## Abstract The article develops a regime‐switching Gumbel–Clayton (RSGC) copula GARCH model for optimal futures hedging. There are three major contributions of RSGC. First, the dependence of spot and futures return series in RSGC is modeled using switching copula instead of assuming bivariate norm
Dynamic hedging with futures: A copula-based GARCH model
✍ Scribed by Chih-Chiang Hsu; Chih-Ping Tseng; Yaw-Huei Wang
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2008
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 287 KB
- Volume
- 28
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
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✦ Synopsis
Abstract
In a number of earlier studies it has been demonstrated that the traditional regression‐based static approach is inappropriate for hedging with futures, with the result that a variety of alternative dynamic hedging strategies have emerged. In this study the authors propose a class of new copula‐based GARCH models for the estimation of the optimal hedge ratio and compare their effectiveness with that of other hedging models, including the conventional static, the constant conditional correlation (CCC) GARCH, and the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH models. With regard to the reduction of variance in the returns of hedged portfolios, the empirical results show that in both the in‐sample and out‐of‐sample tests, with full flexibility in the distribution specifications, the copula‐based GARCH models perform more effectively than other dynamic hedging models. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28:1095–1116, 2008
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