✦ LIBER ✦

Does investor recognition predict returns?

✍ Scribed by Andriy Bodnaruk; Per Ostberg

Book ID: 113711083
Publisher: Elsevier Science
Year: 2008
Tongue: English
Weight: 609 KB
Volume: 91
Category: Article
ISSN: 0304-405X
DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.01.006

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

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## Abstract This study examines the usefulness of trader‐position‐based sentiment index for forecasting future prices in six major agricultural futures markets. It has been found that large speculator sentiment forecasts price continuations. In contrast, large hedger sentiment predicts price revers