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✦   LIBER   ✦

Do treasury bill futures rates satisfy rational expectation properties?

✍ Scribed by C. Steven Cole; Michael Impson; William Reichenstein


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1991
Tongue
English
Weight
672 KB
Volume
11
Category
Article
ISSN
0270-7314

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✦ Synopsis


One-quarter-ahead March 1976 spot rate on 3-month T-bill. Two-quarters-ahead March 1976 spot rate on 3-month T-bill. Three-quarters-ahead March 1976 spot rate on 3-month T-bill. Four-quarters-ahead March 1976 mot rate on 3-month T-bill.

'The rationality of three-quarters-ahead futures forecasts is rejected in the post-1981 period, which implies that the lack of rationality is not due to the change in tax structure for futures contracts.