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Dichotomous-choice contingent valuation with ‘dont know’ responses and misreporting

✍ Scribed by Kelvin Balcombe; Iain Fraser


Book ID
102291847
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2009
Tongue
English
Weight
147 KB
Volume
24
Category
Article
ISSN
0883-7252

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✦ Synopsis


Abstract

A new approach is presented that simultaneously deals with Misreporting and Don't Know (DK) responses within a dichotomous‐choice contingent valuation framework. Utilising a modification of the standard Bayesian Probit framework, a Gibbs with Metropolis–Hastings algorithm is used to estimate the posterior densities for the parameters of interest. Several model specifications are applied to two contingent valuation datasets: one on wolf management plans, and one on the US Fee Demonstration Program. We find that DKs are more likely to be from people who would be predicted to have positive utility for the bid. Therefore, a DK is more likely to be a YES than a NO. We also find evidence of misreporting, primarily in favour of the NO option. The inclusion of DK responses has an unpredictable impact on willingness‐to‐pay estimates, since it impacts differently on the results for the two datasets we examine. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.