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Detection Probability of Trends in Rare Events: Theory and Application to Heavy Precipitation in the Alpine Region

✍ Scribed by Frei, Christoph; Schär, Christoph


Book ID
121311503
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Year
2001
Tongue
English
Weight
347 KB
Volume
14
Category
Article
ISSN
0894-8755

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Detection Probability of Trends in Rare
✍ Frei, Christoph; Schär, Christoph 📂 Article 📅 2001 🏛 American Meteorological Society 🌐 English ⚖ 347 KB

A statistical framework is presented for the assessment of climatological trends in the frequency of rare and extreme weather events. The methodology applies to long-term records of event counts and is based on the stochastic concept of binomial distributed counts. It embraces logistic regression fo