The analysis of decision making under uncertainty has again become a major focus of interest. This volume presents contributions from leading specialists in different fields and provides a summary and synthesis of work in this area. It is based on a conference held at the Harvard Business School. Th
Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour: Normative and Descriptive Approaches
โ Scribed by Anatol Rapoport (auth.)
- Publisher
- Springer Netherlands
- Year
- 1989
- Tongue
- English
- Leaves
- 438
- Series
- Theory and Decision Library 15
- Edition
- 1
- Category
- Library
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
This book presents the content of a year's course in decision processes for third and fourth year students given at the University of Toronto. A principal theme of the book is the relationship between normative and descriptive decision theory. The distinction between the two approaches is not clear to everyone, yet it is of great importance. Normative decision theory addresses itself to the question of how people ought to make decisions in various types of situations, if they wish to be regarded (or to regard themselves) as 'rational'. Descriptive decision theory purports to describe how people actually make decisions in a variety of situations. Normative decision theory is much more formalized than descriptive theory. Especially in its advanced branches, normative theory makes use of mathematicallanguage, mode of discourse, and concepts. For this reason, the definitions of terms encountered in normative decision theory are precise, and its deductions are rigorous. Like the terms and assertions of other branches of mathematics, those of mathematically formalized decision theory need not refer to anything in the 'real', i. e. the observable, world. The terms and assertions can be interpreted in the context of models of real li fe situations, but the verisimilitude of the models is not important. They are meant to capture only the essentials of adecision situation, which in reallife may be obscured by complex details and ambiguities. It is these details and ambiguities, however, that may be crucial in determining the outcomes of the decisions.
โฆ Table of Contents
Front Matter....Pages i-x
Introduction....Pages 1-7
Front Matter....Pages 9-9
Orders and Scales....Pages 11-24
Optimization....Pages 25-54
Decisions under Uncertainty....Pages 55-67
Decisions under Risk....Pages 68-96
Subjective Aspects of Risk....Pages 97-121
Multi-Objective Decisions....Pages 122-142
Theory of Social Choice....Pages 143-158
Individual Psychology of Decision-Making....Pages 159-174
Front Matter....Pages 175-175
Two-Person Constant Sum Games....Pages 177-196
Some Topics in Continuous Games....Pages 197-215
Two-Person Non-Constant Sum Games....Pages 216-236
Psychological Pressures in Non-Cooperative Games....Pages 237-251
Theory of Voting....Pages 252-269
Social Traps....Pages 270-288
Front Matter....Pages 289-289
Two-Person Cooperative Games....Pages 291-316
N -Person Cooperative Games....Pages 317-335
The Allocation Problem....Pages 336-349
Indices of Power....Pages 350-368
Theories of Coalition Formation....Pages 369-381
Front Matter....Pages 289-289
Psychology of Collective Decision-Making....Pages 382-399
Concluding Remarks....Pages 400-408
Back Matter....Pages 409-432
โฆ Subjects
Operation Research/Decision Theory
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