<p>Operations Research (OR) emerged in an effort to improve the effectiveness of newly inducted weapons and equipment during World War II. While rapid growth ofOR led to its becoming an important aid to decision making in all sectors including defense, its contribution in defense remained largely co
Decision Making with Quantitative Financial Market Data: Applications, Precautions and Pitfalls (SpringerBriefs in Operations Research)
✍ Scribed by Alain Ruttiens
- Publisher
- Springer
- Year
- 2021
- Tongue
- English
- Leaves
- 69
- Category
- Library
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Use of quantitative data, especially in financial markets, may provide rapid results due to the ease-of-use and availability of fast computational software, but this book advises caution and helps to understand and avoid potential pitfalls.
It deals with often underestimated issues related to the use of financial quantitative data, such as non-stationarity issues, accuracy issues and modeling issues. It provides practical remedies or ways to develop new calculation methodologies to avoid pitfalls in using data, as well as solutions for risk management issues in financial market.
The book is intended to help professionals in financial industry to use quantitative data in a safer way.
✦ Table of Contents
Preface
Contents
Chapter 1: Basic Notions
1.1 Data: Quantitative Versus Qualitative
1.2 Measure: Exact, or Not?
1.3 Differences, Spreads, and Percentages
1.4 Data as Time Series
1.5 Usual Statistics on Data in Probabilistic Time Series
Chapter 2: A Major Problem in Using Time Series of Data: Stationarity
2.1 A Preliminary Issue: The Case of Data Frequency
2.2 The Problem of Stationarity
Chapter 3: Another Major Problem in Using Time Series of Data: The Accuracy of the Statistical Measures
3.1 Confidence Interval and Standard Error
The Confidence Interval
The Standard Error
3.2 Application 1
3.3 Application 2
3.4 A Simplified Alternative to the Use of Confidence Interval or Standard Error
Non-stationarity and Sample Size: Squaring the Circle?
Chapter 4: Issues About Modeling
4.1 General
4.2 Modeling the Behavior of a Market and Related Valuation Models
4.3 Modeling Derivatives Prices
4.4 Using the ARCH Family of Processes in Derivatives Modeling
4.5 Modeling Credit Derivatives Prices
4.6 Use of Non-Gaussian Distributions in Modeling
4.7 Use of Non-Gaussian Distributions in Modeling: A Step Further
4.8 Other Potential Troubles with Derivatives Valuation
4.9 Algorithms: Quantitative (Algorithmic´´) Trading Models
4.10 As a Conclusion to This Chapter: Issues About Modeling
Chapter 5: Financial Data: Some Risk Management Issues
5.1 Using the Volatility Measure of Losses, That Is, of Negative Returns
5.2 The Time´s Arrow Matters: TheAccrued Returns Variability´´ Measure
5.3 The Case of the Controversial VaR (``Value at Risk´´) Measure
Chapter 6: Synthesis
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