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Credit Decision Model and Mechanism with Default Risk Parameter

✍ Scribed by Su-Lin PANG; Yan-Ming WANG


Publisher
Elsevier
Year
2008
Weight
237 KB
Volume
28
Category
Article
ISSN
1874-8651

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✦ Synopsis


Default risk is an important reason led to credit risk for a bank. In this article, the size of default risk can be quantized and described by the size of the default probability. At first, we discuss the influence of existence of the default probability on the expected return of the bank. Then we modify the ordinary credit decision-making contract Ξ³ = (r, C, q), where only interest rate, collateral and credit rationing were considered, to a new credit decision-making contract Ξ³ = (s(r), C, q) by considering the default probability. We establish a credit decision model including default risk parameter and give both the corresponding credit decision mechanism and a credit decision mechanism under a non-rationing loan. We also discuss the condition of the loan rejected by the bank under the corresponding condition. Finally, we give examples for applications.


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## Abstract This paper studies a Markov chain model that, unlike the existing models, has a stochastic default rate model so as to reflect real world phenomena. We extend the existing Markov chain models as follows: First, our model includes both the economy‐wide and the rating‐specific factors, wh