โ Scribed by Igor Nesteruk
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
Introduction
Contents
1 Data Used for Calculations, Comparisons, and Verifications
2 Early Stages of Epidemics and Exponential Growth
3 Comparisons of the Early Stages of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Different Regions
4 Classical SIR Model and the Exact Solution of Differential Equations
5 Statistics-Based Procedure of Parameter Identification for the Classical SIR Model
6 SIR Simulations for the First Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Different Countries and Regions
6.1 Mainland China
6.2 The Republic of Korea
6.3 Italy
6.4 Austria
6.5 Spain
6.6 France
6.7 Germany
6.8 The UK
6.9 USA
6.10 The Republic of Moldova
6.11 Ukraine
6.12 Kyiv
6.13 The World
7 Comparison of the First Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Different Countries and Regions
8 Identification of the New Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic
9 General SIR Model and Its Exact Solution
10 Procedures of Parameter Identification for the Waves of Epidemics
11 Applications of the General SIR Model for Calculations of the COVID-19 Epidemic Waves in Ukraine
12 Global Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic
13 Long-Time Predictions for the Pandemic Dynamics
14 Conclusions
References
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