The asymptotic quasi-likelihood method is considered for the model y t f t q M t ; t 0; 1; . . . ; T where f t q is a linear predictable process of the parameter of interest q, M t is a martingale difference, and the nature of EM 2 t j p tร1 is unknown. This paper is concerned with the limiting dist
Convergence and the Constant Dynamic Linear Model
โ Scribed by P. J. Harrison
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1997
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 121 KB
- Volume
- 16
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
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โฆ Synopsis
It is well known that, as calculated using the Kalman ยฎlter recurrence relationships, the posterior parameter variance and the adaptive vector of observable constant dynamic linear models converge to limiting values. However, most proofs are tortuous, some have subtle errors and some relate only to speciยฎc cases. An elegant probabilistic convergence proof demonstrates that the limit is independent of the initial parametric prior. The result is extended to a class of multivariate dynamic linear models. Finally the proof is shown to apply to many non-observable constant DLMs.
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