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Control charts for GARCH processes

✍ Scribed by S. Schipper; W. Schmid


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2001
Tongue
English
Weight
509 KB
Volume
47
Category
Article
ISSN
0362-546X

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✦ Synopsis


In this paper simultaneous exponentially weighted moving average schemes for the mean and the variance of a financial time series are introduced. The target process is assumed to be a GARCH process. It is proved that in some cases the bivariate approach leads to a smaller out-of-control average run length. In an extensive simulation study the control schemes are compared with each other. The control charts are applied to the returns of stocks. The information about deviations from the target process can be used to construct a trading strategy based on options.


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