Composite model building for foreign exchange rates
β Scribed by John B. Guerard Jr
- Book ID
- 102843267
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1989
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 828 KB
- Volume
- 8
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
It has been shown in recent economic and statistical studies that composite forecasts may produce more accurate forecasts than individual ones. The purpose of this study is to develop composite forecasting models that may produce forecasts superior to the individual forecast implicit in forward exchange rates. In an efficient market one would expect to find little improvement with the composite models relative to the forward exchange rate.
KEY WORDS Combining forecasts Foreign exchange rates Multicollinearity
A large recent literature has developed to support the estimation of composite modeling
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
## Abstract This study examines the forecasting accuracy of alternative vector autoregressive models each in a sevenβvariable system that comprises in turn of daily, weekly and monthly foreign exchange (FX) spot rates. The vector autoregressions (VARs) are in nonβstationary, stationary and errorβco