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Collinearity and the use of latent root regression for combining GNP forecasts

✍ Scribed by John B. Guerard Jr.; Robert T. Clemen


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1989
Tongue
English
Weight
472 KB
Volume
8
Category
Article
ISSN
0277-6693

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✦ Synopsis


In combining economic forecasts a problem often faced is that the individual forecasts display some degree of dependence. We discuss latent root regression for combining collinear GNP forecasts. O w results indicate that latent root regression produces more efficient combining weight estimates (regression parameter estimates) than ordinary least squares estimation (OLS), although out-of-sample forecasting performance is comparable to OLS.


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