๐”– Bobbio Scriptorium
โœฆ   LIBER   โœฆ

Cloud forecasting: The daily use of the tephigram

โœ Scribed by R. M. Poulter


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
832 KB
Volume
64
Category
Article
ISSN
0035-9009

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

โœฆ Synopsis


Abstract

For airโ€survey work and other specialised daylight flying it is important to know for some hours ahead in fine weather the amount of the sky that will be covered by cloud and the height at which the cloud will exist. Readings of the dryโ€ and wetโ€bulb thermometers at 50 mb. intervals provide information which, when plotted on a tephigram or similar diagram, enables a forecaster to predict with useful accuracy the amount, height and thickness of clouds during the day. Temperature and dewโ€point at 4 ft. in the forecast area and the probable rise of temperature arc required to give the height of potential condensation, while the relation between the condensation temperature and the temperature of the environment is the criterion for cloud formation.

Cloud thickness is judged by the relation between the saturation adiabatic through the condensation point and the actual temperatures above, while cloud amount is estimated by the relative humidity of the environment a t the condensation level.

The application of this technique to the various situations met in dayโ€toโ€day forecasting is described and illustrated.


๐Ÿ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES


Daily volatility forecasts: reassessing
โœ David G. McMillan; Alan E. H. Speight ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 2004 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 90 KB ๐Ÿ‘ 2 views

## Abstract Volatility plays a key role in asset and portfolio management and derivatives pricing. As such, accurate measures and good forecasts of volatility are crucial for the implementation and evaluation of asset and derivative pricing models in addition to trading and hedging strategies. Howe

The use of the variogram cloud in geosta
โœ Alexander Ploner ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 1999 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 452 KB ๐Ÿ‘ 1 views

This paper gives an overview of some of the possible applications of the variogram cloud in geostatistical modelling, mainly in exploratory data analysis (EDA), but also in preliminary parameter quantiยฎcation, and model validation.

Daily FX Volatility Forecasts: Can the G
โœ David G. Mcmillan; Alan E. H. Speight ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 2011 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 120 KB

## ABSTRACT Volatility forecasting remains an active area of research with no current consensus as to the model that provides the most accurate forecasts, though Hansen and Lunde (2005) have argued that in the context of daily exchange rate returns nothing can beat a GARCH(1,1) model. This paper ex

Testing for the usefulness of forecasts
โœ Eric S. Lin; Ping-Hung Chou; Ta-Sheng Chou ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 2010 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 838 KB

Ashley (Journal of Forecasting 1983; 2(3): 211-223) proposes a criterion (known as Ashley's index) to judge whether the external macroeconomic variables are well forecast to serve as explanatory variables in forecasting models, which is crucial for policy makers. In this article, we try to extend As

Predicting realizations of daily weather
โœ Mohammad Bannayan; Gerrit Hoogenboom ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 2008 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 214 KB

## Abstract Weather is one of the primary driving variables that prominently impacts agricultural production and associated disciplines, such as resource management. Lack of daily weather data for many locations along with many prognosis requirements for weather for various applications has resulte