Climate Change and Economic Development: SEA Regional Modelling and Analysis

✍ Scribed by Sardar M.N. Islam, Jamie Sanderson

• Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
• Year: 2007
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 213
• Category: Library

✦ Synopsis

The impacts of climate change on economic development have the potential to be unevenly distributed around the globe. This book focuses on South East Asia with respect to the economics of climate change and the relationship between climate change and economic development. The book examines the region's vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, forecasts the environmental and economic outcomes for the region arising from its vulnerability and also the opportunities these factors provide for policy actions towards alleviating climate change vulnerability, particularly through adaptation.

✦ Table of Contents

Cover......Page 1
Contents......Page 8
List of Tables......Page 14
List of Figures......Page 16
Acknowledgement and Sources of Some Materials......Page 18
Summary and Preface......Page 20
Foreword......Page 22
List of Abbreviations......Page 24
1.1 Introduction......Page 26
1.2.1 The discovery of the greenhouse......Page 27
1.2.2 The international response to climate change......Page 28
1.2.3 The outcome from Kyoto......Page 31
1.3 The economics of climate change......Page 35
1.3.1 Problems presented by climate change for economics......Page 36
1.4.1 Mitigation and adaptation: definitions and contrasts......Page 37
1.4.2 Reasons for the relative paucity of climate change adaptation research......Page 38
1.5 Objectives of this book......Page 40
1.6 Contributions of this book......Page 41
1.7 The structure of this book......Page 42
2.1 Introduction......Page 46
2.2 South East Asia......Page 47
2.2.1 Recent economic and social development in South East Asia......Page 48
2.2.2 Recent economic reform and growth......Page 50
2.2.3 The environment as an issue in South East Asia......Page 51
2.2.4 Climate change activities in South East Asia......Page 54
2.3.1 The contribution of deforestation to climate change......Page 61
2.3.3 Overall structure of emissions......Page 62
2.3.4 South East Asia's place in the global greenhouse......Page 63
2.3.5 Economic development and climate change emissions......Page 65
2.4 Conclusion......Page 69
3.2.1 The methodology......Page 72
3.2.2 Other aggregate impact estimates......Page 74
3.3 The likely impacts of climate change on South East Asia......Page 77
3.4.1 Sea level rise......Page 79
3.4.2 Agriculture......Page 82
3.4.3 Impacts of climate change on health......Page 85
3.4.4 Human settlements and ecosystems......Page 86
3.4.5 Vulnerability to natural disasters......Page 88
3.4.6 Other vulnerable sectors......Page 89
3.5.1 Comparison with other results......Page 90
3.6 Conclusion......Page 91
4.2 Integrated assessment models of climate change......Page 92
4.2.1 Major modelling issues......Page 95
4.3.1 The difference between DICE and SEADICE......Page 98
4.3.2 Arguments in favour of the DICE model......Page 99
4.3.3 Arguments against the DICE model......Page 100
4.3.4 The model solution process – the choice between GAMS and Excel......Page 101
4.4 Model structure......Page 102
4.4.1 Objective function......Page 103
4.4.2 Constraints......Page 104
4.4.3 Climate equations......Page 105
4.5.1 SEADICE results for five model runs......Page 111
4.6 Optimistic and pessimistic scenarios......Page 122
4.7 Conclusion......Page 124
Appendix 4.A: SEADICE (South East Asia DICE) Model......Page 125
Appendix 4.B: SEADICE Results......Page 129
5.2 General adaptation concepts......Page 132
5.2.1 Scientific concepts of adaptation......Page 133
5.2.2 Economic concepts of adaptation......Page 134
5.3 Adaptation concepts for climate change......Page 135
5.3.1 Definitions of climate change adaptation......Page 136
5.4 Autonomous and planned adaptation......Page 137
5.4.1 Autonomous adaptation......Page 138
5.4.2 Planned adaptation......Page 142
5.4.3 Summary definitions......Page 144
5.5.1 Theories of economic growth and the emergence of endogenous technical progress......Page 145
5.6.1 Review of climate change models incorporating adaptation......Page 148
5.7 An application to SEADICE......Page 151
5.7.1 Application of endogenous technical progress to the SEADICE model......Page 152
5.8 Conclusion......Page 154
6.2 Policy options for greenhouse gas emission reductions in South East Asia......Page 156
6.2.1 Clean development mechanism......Page 157
6.2.2 Emissions trading......Page 159
6.2.4 No regrets mitigation options for South East Asia......Page 160
6.2.5 Carbon tax......Page 164
6.3 Expected climate change mitigation actions for South East Asia......Page 165
6.4 Recommended mitigation actions for South East Asia......Page 166
6.5 Conclusion......Page 167
7.2.1 What is adaptation policy?......Page 168
7.2.2 What is adaptation's status as an international policy issue?......Page 169
7.2.3 Reasons for the increasing importance of climate change adaptation policy......Page 170
7.2.4 Options for the identification of adaptation policies......Page 172
7.2.5 Difficulties of adaptation policy identification......Page 174
7.3 Adaptation policy options for South East Asia......Page 177
7.4 Conclusion......Page 181
8.2 Major contributions to the literature......Page 182
8.3 Limitations of the book......Page 185
8.5 Conclusion......Page 186
Notes......Page 188
Bibliography......Page 192
H......Page 212
W......Page 213

✦ Subjects

Экологические дисциплины;Глобальная экология;Изменение климата и парниковый эффект;