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Can macroeconomic policy stimulate private investment in South Africa? New insights from aggregate and manufacturing sector-level evidence

✍ Scribed by Leonce Ndikumana


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2008
Tongue
English
Weight
385 KB
Volume
20
Category
Article
ISSN
0954-1748

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✦ Synopsis


Abstract

This study explores the determinants of investment using both aggregated industry‐level data and disaggretated data on 27 sub‐sectors of the manufacturing sector for the period 1970–2001. According to the results in this study, the government has potentially powerful means at its disposal to stimulate private investment. In particular, a domestic demand stimulus and public investment expansion will produce large gains in private investment. While the direct effects of lowering the interest rate appear to be quantitatively small, indirect effects operating notably through domestic demand and cheaper credit are likely to be large. The evidence in this study also indicates that it is important to minimise exchange rate instability to encourage investment. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.