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Buyers' and sellers' markets: A simple rational expectations search model of the housing market

✍ Scribed by Thomas S. Zorn; William H. Sackley


Publisher
Springer US
Year
1991
Tongue
English
Weight
617 KB
Volume
4
Category
Article
ISSN
0895-5638

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✦ Synopsis


The terms buyers "market and sellers' market are commonly used in contexts that most economists would characterize as excess supply and excess demand. It is puzzling, however, that in many instances the press and general public are all aware that it is a buyers' or sellers' market. Are these markets really that inefficient? We offer definitions of buyers' and sellers' markets that are consistent with a full rational expectations equilibrium in a simple general equilibrium search model of a heterogeneous durable goods market.


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## Abstract A statistically optimal inference about agents' __ex ante__ price expectations within the US broiler market is derived using futures prices of related commodities along with a quasi‐rational forecasting regression equation. The modelling approach, which builds on a Hamilton‐type framewo